Obama's foreign policy towards Cuba is showing a profile that combines wandering right decisions with very basic mistakes. Basically, while Fidel Castro is alive, any illusion of reform and expansion of freedom inside Cuba impossible. If in 50 years has not even slightly open fist (as he said allegedly Queen Sofia: "I can not. If I open a bit then want a muchito") it seems clear that it will do in the aftermath of life. The agony of Fidel will not give you the wisdom and clarity than ever tuvo.La question therefore is what incentives are created within the system by the time the elder Castro passes from the scene. Almost everyone knows that the current situation is untenable, if anything because Raul is not a young man who can settle in command for much longer. The question is the direction that reform will take the death of Fidel. Dictatorship may try to arrange a peaceful transition in Cuba Raul looking for another role in the new international style scene who exercised and lost with the collapse of the USSR (either as an ally of Chavez or Russia), so not have to change the substance of the political and economic organization. Or can you start the transition to a western market democracy through fundamental reforms (recognition of private property, free elections ...). Continue either way will depend on how individuals in Cuba to pursue their thesis to achieve, and given that today no one has absolute control of the military to impose by force their view, the international scene have a decisive impact on the result of the scuffle intestine.
All external measures to help strengthen the hardliners thesis, namely that the pictures of the system may maintain their power and privileges in the absence of Castro through a conducive external environment, away from the scene of a democratic transition in Cuba. All measures, however, show the urgent need to turn the tide and remember the plight of the island is linked to the communist political-economic system, spurring the change.
Obama last week took a wise decision : lift restrictions on remittances and travel to Cuba by Cuban Americans. Thus, not only ended a measure adopted in 2004 without much sense, but promotes the exchange of ideas and money between Cubans on the island and Cubans in Miami allows first remember every day why the same people in Cuba but lives badly hit in Miami.
But on Friday, Secretary of State for Obama, Hillary Clinton, made a major mistake: he proclaimed to the four winds U.S. policy toward Cuba had failed and urging dialogue with the regime. Put another way, Clinton was not only an implicit assumption of responsibility for the situation in Cuba (where it rests entirely with the dictatorship) but opened the possibility that the regime could get if they knew how to drive compensatory gestures toward the United States .
Obviously, Clinton's message and what results from this - an eventual lifting of the embargo before Fidel Castro dies - only brings hope to those who argue that the regime can survive without reforms and good allies. We should not grant any victory or a win to dictatorship. Since then, the seizures are harmful to the country imposing and the sufferer, while in the case of Cuba origin was commendable as was to prevent economic transactions were made goods that had been expropriated by the robolution. Today it has lost much of its meaning except as a symbol of American refusal to Castro and communism, remove it now, when Castro are about to lose and when it could be used from within as an argument against the hardliners to support the transition, would be a fortune error.Por, Obama again placed the ball on Sunday which has always been: in the roof of the Castro. It is they who are condemned to misery for the Cuban people and they - and all it represents - that must disappear for the welfare and freedom to flourish on the island United States could not fail in that over which he had never responsibility.
A friend said that Obama is Zp on tanned.
google772cd135feb3b93c.html. 
0 comments:
Post a Comment